Calheta vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+524%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAM
40%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAL
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 1
PON
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
CAL
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
AND
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAC
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
CRU
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
1MA
1 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |