Calera vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ECG
1 - 3
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDL
0 - 0
CAL
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CBA
0 - 2
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
BAR
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
REC
3 - 0
CBA
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
REC
80%
14%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
REC
1 - 2
CON
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
REC
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
REC
4 - 1
CDE
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |