Calera vs CD Mocejon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAL
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAM
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FUE
1 - 0
CAL
48%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
6 - 2
GUA
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PTO
0 - 2
CAL
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Mocejon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MOC
1 - 1
FUE
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOC
3 - 3
GUA
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PTO
2 - 1
MOC
26%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOC
4 - 0
ORO
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PUE
4 - 1
MOC
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |