Calera vs Miguel Esteban AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HOR
3 - 0
CAL
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADS
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
QUI
28%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 1
BAR
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MES
5 - 2
TOR
47%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FDE
2 - 1
MES
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FUE
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SON
1 - 0
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MES
1 - 0
CDP
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |