Calera vs CDEEF Patrocinio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MEN
2 - 1
CAL
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
CDL
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAZ
0 - 1
CAL
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
ORG
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
MOR
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CDEEF Patrocinio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CDE
1 - 1
SCR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 2
CDE
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CDE
1 - 0
TAL
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
4 - 1
CDE
21%
24%
56%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
CDE
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |