Calera vs At. Consuegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAL
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 4
URD
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ECG
1 - 0
CAL
55%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
5 - 1
CBA
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 0
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Consuegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CON
3 - 3
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
CON
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
PTO
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MEN
0 - 3
CON
14%
19%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CON
3 - 2
POL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |