Calera vs ACDM Horche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ADS
2 - 0
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
3 - 0
CAL
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADS
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACDM Horche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
TOR
57%
21%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FDE
1 - 2
HOR
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
8 - 0
FUE
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SON
3 - 0
HOR
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
CDP
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |