Morvant Caledonia United vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CON
1 - 1
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
TBU
1 - 5
CAL
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
1 - 0
ANN
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
0 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
1 - 2
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
3 - 0
UPT
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
JOE
3 - 0
STK
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |