Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
SES
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 3
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
DEF
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
DEF
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |