Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
JOE
0 - 1
CAL
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
UPT
2 - 0
CAL
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 0
ANN
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
3 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 0
TBU
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
POL
1 - 2
DEF
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
3 - 0
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |