Caldicot Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldicot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 1
BRI
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 0
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
NWP
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
PON
2 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
TON
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRY
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |