Calders vs Vilada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 5
AVI
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SSC
2 - 0
CAL
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SFS
1 - 2
CAL
79%
12%
9%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 1
CLL
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 2
BER
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 0
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CCR
2 - 1
VIL
84%
10%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 5
SSC
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
SLM
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |