Calders vs Callus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SLM
2 - 3
CAL
54%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 0
CAL
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 2
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
5 - 1
CAL
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 0
GIR
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Callus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
GIR
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 2
BAG
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 5
CAL
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
MON
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
PUI
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |