Caldense vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 5
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
DEM
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATM
11%
18%
70%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |