Caldense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
90%
9%
2%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
BOA
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUP
2 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
URT
0 - 2
TUP
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
URT
0 - 1
ATM
6%
16%
77%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
PAR
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
URT
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |