Caldense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
22%
68%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 1
CAL
77%
17%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
UBE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
URT
1 - 0
TRI
51%
23%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
URT
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
URT
1 - 0
ATM
10%
20%
71%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
TOM
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |