Caldense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAL
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
TUP
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
URT
0 - 5
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
URT
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
URT
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
URT
1 - 4
BOA
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |