Caldense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
URT
1 - 2
CAL
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
FEC
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PFC
2 - 4
CAL
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
UBE
0 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
URT
1 - 2
CAL
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
PFC
0 - 2
URT
19%
22%
60%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
AMF
3 - 3
URT
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
URT
2 - 0
UBE
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
URT
1 - 1
FEC
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |