Caldense vs Uniao Luziense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
UBE
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAL
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 3
PFC
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FEC
1 - 3
CAL
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Luziense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
URT
1 - 1
ULU
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ULU
2 - 1
ARA
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +5 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PDC
4 - 2
ULU
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
ULU
0 - 1
IPA
31%
24%
44%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ULU
0 - 2
ECI
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |