Caldense vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
IFC
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 2
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
TUP
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TUP
3 - 1
OES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
OES
0 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 2
TUP
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |