Caldense vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SOB
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
SOB
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
3 - 1
SOB
45%
23%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |