Caldense vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
54%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
CAL
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NVE
3 - 1
CAL
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
NVE
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 1
POA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
NVE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
14%
18%
68%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |