Caldense vs Ideal de Ipatinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FEC
2 - 2
CAL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
FEC
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 2
CAL
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
2 - 1
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 0
PDC
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal de Ipatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 0
ECI
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 1
IPA
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 2
CAL
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FEC
3 - 0
IPA
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
3 - 1
IPA
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |