Caldense vs Ideal de Ipatinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAL
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 2
ECI
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PDC
0 - 2
CAL
22%
24%
55%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
TUP
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal de Ipatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
IPA
1 - 3
UBE
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
URT
3 - 0
IPA
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 1
AMF
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |