Caldense vs EC Itauna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 0
FUN
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAL
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 0
PDC
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ECI
1 - 0
CAL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 1
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
FEC
1 - 1
ECI
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
URT
1 - 1
ECI
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ECI
1 - 0
CAL
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ECI
2 - 0
FEC
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |