Caldense vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAL
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POA
1 - 1
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
CEA
6%
20%
75%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
DEM
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
DEM
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 2
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
DEM
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |