Caldense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
CAL
88%
10%
3%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
CAL
64%
23%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
REA
17%
26%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
POA
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
TOM
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
URT
1 - 2
DEM
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |