Caldense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
DEM
4 - 3
CAL
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CAL
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 1
IFC
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
2 - 0
CAL
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AMF
3 - 1
DEM
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
DEM
5 - 2
61%
20%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
DEM
4 - 3
CAL
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 1
DEM
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
2 - 1
DEM
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |