Caldense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
73.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAL
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
DEM
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UBE
2 - 0
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 2
CAL
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
TUP
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
URT
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 2
ATM
4%
14%
82%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
4 - 0
TUP
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
GOD
1 - 1
ATM
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |