Caldas vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADM
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |