Caldas vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
8º
7º
24
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 2
CAL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 4
CAL
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEL
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
1DE
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
ACA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
USA
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
USA
2 - 2
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
SPC
57%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |