Caldas vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AMO
0 - 1
CAL
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
COV
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
USA
2 - 2
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
AMO
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
COV
29%
26%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
COV
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
AMO
0 - 1
USA
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
USA
2 - 2
CAL
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
COV
2 - 0
USA
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
USA
2 - 2
AMO
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |