Caldas vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAR
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PRA
0 - 1
CAL
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VVR
0 - 5
CAL
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
CAL
54%
26%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 1
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
6 - 0
USA
88%
10%
3%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 0
UDL
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
5 - 0
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 0
OLI
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |