Caldas vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
EVN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
1DE
3 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 4
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
TOU
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |