Caldas vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
3º
26
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
AMO
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 1
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 2
SCP
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 4
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
SCP
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |