Caldas vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
6º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AMO
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 4
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |