Caldas vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 4
ACA
25%
25%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 2
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |