Caldas vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SCP
6 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 4
SLB
9%
15%
76%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 1
TOR
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
FCB
4 - 3
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
2 - 1
FAB
66%
18%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
8 - 1
SPC
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
2 - 0
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
4 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
6 - 0
SPC
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |