Caldas vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
0 - 1
SLB
8%
15%
77%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 1
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
VST
3 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 1
FAB
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPC
52%
23%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 2
FCP
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |