Caldas vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAL
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 2
PRA
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
USA
3 - 3
CAL
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
RDA
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 0
USA
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
GDF
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RDA
0 - 0
BEN
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |