Caldas vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 4
CAL
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |