Caldas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
5 - 0
GDF
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAL
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 3
UDL
20%
25%
56%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAR
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PRA
0 - 1
CAL
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
SER
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 2
SER
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
SER
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
GDF
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |