Caldas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
GAF
47%
28%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
SIN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SER
0 - 3
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 1
SER
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 3
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
3 - 2
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |