Caldas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CRA
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |