Caldas vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
USA
3 - 3
CAL
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
RDA
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAL
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRA
1 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BMA
0 - 1
PRA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PRA
4 - 0
OLI
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 2
PRA
11%
18%
72%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 2
PRA
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |