Caldas vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
GDR
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 1
CAL
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAF
27%
30%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAF
0 - 0
PRA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 0
GDR
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 0
ANG
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 1
PRA
6%
13%
81%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |