Caldas vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAL
18%
23%
58%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAL
14%
21%
66%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
OLE
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAF
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAF
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
MAF
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
14 - 1
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |