Caldas vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 3
CAL
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 3
SAC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPC
10%
19%
72%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 1
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
41%
29%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
PER
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 3
USA
14%
18%
69%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
1DE
1 - 1
LOU
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
IRI
3 - 1
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |