Caldas vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
SIN
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALV
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
1DE
2 - 1
CAL
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
PER
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
1DE
1 - 0
LOU
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
USA
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
12%
23%
65%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALM
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |