Caldas vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
EST
6%
16%
78%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
3 - 1
GDA
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 3
ANG
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
GDA
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 2
TOR
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
4 - 0
GDA
80%
15%
5%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |